Massive earthquake in the Bougainville Island area, Papua New Guinea

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Update 13:30 UTC : Prediction from the fatality model was around 0-1 fatalities (0.45 median expected) due to shaking. It is expected that there will not be significant damage. It is currently night, so very little information will come through until morning.

Update 11:21 UTC : As a tsunami risk is potentially the most dangerous for this earthquake, find below the theoretical expectations from GDACS. We might call the impact strong waves and currents at max. Always best to keep away from the beach in these conditions.

 Screen Shot 2013-10-16 at 13.21.10

Update 11:10 UTC  : Earthquake-Report does not think that this earthquake will result in heavy damage or injuries/ fatalities. The theoretical damage engine from Max Wyss gives the following results : ESTIMATE OF HUMAN LOSSES : Injured Exp. min/max: 0/100; Fatalities Exp. min/max: 0/20
As the epicenter is relatively far from the coast the shaking will be strong (USGS expects 13000 people to have felt a very strong shaking) but as PNG is used to very strong to massive earthquakes, the impact will be limited.
One of the dangers in subduction zones like this is a undersea landslide who can cause massive local tsunamis. These are however extremely rare to happen.

Screen Shot 2013-10-16 at 13.11.12

Normally NO widespread Pacific Ocean Tsunami risk

This is the Pacific Tsunami message nr. 1
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON  HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL  TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN  A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES  IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS  POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

Screen Shot 2013-10-16 at 13.01.49

65km (40mi) WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea
74km (46mi) WSW of Arawa, Papua New Guinea
377km (234mi) SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea
539km (335mi) ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea
642km (399mi) WNW of Honiara, Solomon Islands

Most important Earthquake Data:

Magnitude : 6.8

Local Time (conversion only below land) : 2013-10-16 20:30:58

GMT/UTC Time : 2013-10-16 10:30:58

Depth (Hypocenter)  : 48 km

Depth and Magnitude updates in the list below.

Share your earthquake experience (I Have Felt It) with our readers.
Click on the "I Felt It" button behind the corresponding earthquake. Your earthquake experience is not only important for science, but also for people in the area as well as our global readership.

Refresh this list
SRC Location UTC Date/time M D INFO
GEOFON Solomon Islands Oct 16 20:49 4.9 90 MAP
EMSC Bougainville Region, P.n.g. Oct 16 20:49 4.9 100 MAP I Felt It INFO
USGS Panguna, Papua New Guinea Oct 16 12:46 5.3 66 MAP
GEOFON Solomon Islands Oct 16 12:46 5.4 51 MAP I Felt It INFO
EMSC Bougainville Region, P.n.g. Oct 16 12:46 5.4 46 MAP
PTWC Solomon Islands Oct 16 10:37 7.1 33 MAP
USGS Panguna, Papua New Guinea Oct 16 10:31 7.1 33 MAP
EMSC Bougainville Region, P.n.g. Oct 16 10:31 6.8 50 MAP
USGS Panguna, Papua New Guinea Oct 16 10:31 6.8 54 MAP
WCATWC Solomon Islands Oct 16 10:31 7.1 33 MAP
  • Gizo - it was quite strong
  • GEOFON Solomon Islands Oct 16 10:30 6.8 48 MAP I Felt It INFO
  • New Zealand - I did not feel it but need to say Bougainville is Papau New Guinea rather than Solomon Islands ER : thats why we have titled PNG - Thanks for telling us

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    SHARE YOUR EARTHQUAKE EXPERIENCE WITH US

    I felt the shaking *
    Country where you felt the earthquake *
    City/Village where you felt the earthquake *
    Street or suburb (area) where you felt the earthquake
    Latitude (area) where you felt the earthquake
    Longitude (area) where you felt the earthquake
    Shaking Strength *
    MMI II (Very weak shaking) ?
    People :
    Felt by persons at rest, on upper floors or favorably placed.
    MMI III (Weak shaking) ?
    People :
    Felt indoors; hanging objects may swing, vibration similar to passing of light trucks, duration may be estimated, may not be recognized as an earthquake.
    MMI IV (Light shaking) ?
    People :
    Generally noticed indoors but not outside. Light sleepers may be awakened. Vibration may be likened to the passing of heavy traffic, or to the jolt of a heavy object falling or striking the building.
    Fittings :
    Doors and windows rattle. Glassware and crockery rattle. Liquids in open vessels may be slightly disturbed. Standing motorcars may rock.
    Structures :
    Walls and frames of buildings, and partitions and suspended ceilings in commercial buildings, may be heard to creak.
    MMI V (Moderate shaking) ?
    People :
    Generally felt outside, and by almost everyone indoors. Most sleepers awakened. A few people alarmed.
    Fittings :
    Small unstable objects are displaced or upset. Some glassware and crockery may be broken. Hanging pictures knock against the wall. Open doors may swing. Cupboard doors secured by magnetic catches may open. Pendulum clocks stop, start, or change rate.
    Structures :
    Some large display windows cracked. A few earthenware toilet fixtures cracked.
    MMI VI (Strong shaking) ?
    People Felt by all. People and animals alarmed. Many run outside. Difficulty experienced in walking steadily.
    Fittings :
    Objects fall from shelves. Pictures fall from walls. Some furniture moved on smooth floors, some unsecured free-standing fireplaces moved. Glassware and crockery broken. Very unstable furniture overturned. Small church and school bells ring. Appliances move on bench or table tops. Filing cabinets or "easy glide" drawers may open (or shut).
    Structures :
    Slight damage to buildings with low standard. Some stucco or cement plaster falls. Large display windows broken. Damage to a few weak domestic chimneys, some may fall.
    Environment :
    Trees and bushes shake, or are heard to rustle. Loose material may be dislodged from sloping ground, e.g. existing slides, talus slopes, shingle slides.
    MMI VII (Very strong shaking) ?
    People
    General alarm. Difficulty experienced in standing. Noticed by motorcar drivers who may stop.
    Fittings :
    Large bells ring. Furniture moves on smooth floors, may move on carpeted floors. Substantial damage to fragile contents of buildings.
    Structures :
    Unreinforced stone and brick walls cracked. Low standard buildings cracked with some minor masonry falls. A few instances of damage to buildings of ordinary workmanship. Unbraced parapets, unbraced brick gables, and architectural ornaments fall. Roofing tiles, especially ridge tiles may be dislodged. Many unreinforced domestic chimneys damaged, often falling from roof-line. Water tanks Type I burst. A few instances of damage to brick veneers and plaster or cement-based linings. Unrestrained water cylinders (hot-water cylinders) may move and leak. Some common windows cracked. Suspended ceilings damaged.
    Environment :
    Water made turbid by stirred up mud. Small slides such as falls of sand and gravel banks, and small rock-falls from steep slopes and cuttings. Instances of settlement of unconsolidated or wet, or weak soils. Some fine cracks appear in sloping ground. A few instances of liquefaction (i.e. small water and sand ejections).
    MMI VIII (Severe shaking) ?
    People Alarm may approach panic. Steering of motorcars greatly affected. Structures : Low standard buildings heavily damaged, some collapse. ordinary workmanship buildings damaged, some with partial collapse. Reinforced masonry or concrete buildings damaged in some cases. A few instances of damage to buildings and bridges designed and built to resist earthquakes. Monuments and pre-1976 elevated tanks and factory stacks twisted or brought down. Some pre-1965 infill masonry panels damaged. A few post-1980 brick veneers damaged. Decayed timber piles of houses damaged. Houses not secured to foundations may move. Most unreinforced domestic chimneys damaged, some below roof-line, many brought down. Environment : Cracks appear on steep slopes and in wet ground. Small to moderate slides in roadside cuttings and unsupported excavations. Small water and sand ejections and localized lateral spreading adjacent to streams, canals, lakes, etc.
    MMI IX (Violent shaking) ?
    Structures Many low standard buildings destroyed. Ordinary workmanship buildings heavily damaged, some collapse. Reinforced masonry or concrete buildings damaged, some with partial collapse. Buildings and bridges designed and built to resist earthquakes damaged in some cases, some with flexible frames seriously damaged. Damage or permanent distortion to some buildings and bridges, designed and built to normal use standards. Houses not secured to foundations shifted off. Brick veneers fall and expose frames. Environment : Cracking of ground conspicuous. Landsliding general on steep slopes. Liquefaction effects intensified and more widespread, with large lateral spreading and flow sliding adjacent to streams, canals, lakes, etc.
    Tell us your experience and how many seconds the shaking lasted + let us know if your property has been damaged (even slight damage). (max. 500 characters)
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